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Daily FX Focus

16 Jul 2024

Important Risk Disclosure

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  • RMB is currently not freely convertible and subject to regulatory restrictions (which might be changed from time to time).

AUD

Support / Resistance

vs USD  0.6651 / 0.6832    ⬇

AUD fell against the dollar yesterday as USD rose broadly due to improved risk aversion and firm speculation for Fed rate cuts in Sept. Investors await the US Retail Sales and Aussie Employment for June. AUDUSD fell 0.35% yesterday while AUDHKD ended at 5.27 level.

EUR

Support / Resistance

vs USD   1.0731 / 1.0989   ⬇

EUR weakened against the USD yesterday as the USD strengthened after falling initially, rebounding on increasing bets of a Trump win. Focus moves to ECB's rate decision, Eurozone industrial production and German ZEW survey. EURUSD fell 0.11% yesterday while EURHKD ended at 8.50 level.

GBP

Support / Resistance

vs USD   1.2719 / 1.3103    ⬇

GBP fell against the dollar yesterday as Fed speak drives broader market sentiment as investors hope for rate cuts, while eyes on upcoming UK CPI inflation release. GBP was also undermined as UK property asking prices fell more than usual. GBPUSD fell 0.20% yesterday while GBPHKD ended at 10.12 level.

NZD

Support / Resistance

vs USD   0.6023 / 0.6145   ⬇

NZD edged lower against the dollar yesterday as business NZ PSI drops to 40.2 in June, marking its fourth consecutive monthly decrease. The weaker Chinese economic data and modest rebound of the USD continue to undermine NZD. NZDUSD fell 0.72% yesterday while NZDHKD ended at 4.74 level.

RMB

Support / Resistance

vs USD   7.2462 / 7.2741   ⬆

CNH fell against the dollar yesterday after weaker-than-expected Chinese GDP which grew 4.7% y/y. CNH was also undermined after June retail sales growth showed slowest since Dec 2022 but industrial output rose more than forecast. USDCNH rose 0.04% yesterday while CNHHKD ended at 1.07 level.

CAD

Support / Resistance

vs USD   1.3594 / 1.3763   ⬇

CAD weakened against the dollar yesterday, falling to a 12-day low as Bank of Canada business survey pointed to a decline in inflation, raising bets that the BOC will cut rate further this month. A fall in oil prices also weighed on CAD. USDCAD rose 0.37% yesterday while CADHKD ended at 5.70 level. 

JPY

Support / Resistance

vs USD   156.11 / 160.95   ⬆

JPY ended slightly weaker against the dollar yesterday as the USD strengthened on increasing bets of a Trump win after an initial dip on Powell's comments. JPY was also weighed by a rise in longer dated US treasury yields. USDJPY rose 0.08% yesterday while JPYHKD ended at 4.93 level. 

CHF

Support / Resistance

vs USD   0.8896 / 0.9033   ⬇

CHF weakened against the dollar yesterday as the USD strengthened against major peers after an initial dip during Powell's speech, rebounding on bets of a Trump win. However, safe haven flows due to political uncertainty limited CHF losses. USDCHF rose 0.18% yesterday while CHFHKD ended at 8.71 level.

SGD

Support / Resistance

vs USD   1.3359 / 1.3556   ⬇

SGD ended weaker against the US dollar yesterday as the USD strengthened after easing initially while longer dated US treasury yields rose on growing bets of Donald trump winning the presidential race after a failed assassination attempt. USDSGD rose 0.22% yesterday while SGDHKD ended at 5.80 level.

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